RBNZ, NZD/USD, USD/JPY

The RBNZ raise to.75 from 0.50 was accomplished to combat Inflation in line with the RBNZ mandate to maintain Inflation between 1 to 3%. OCR at 0.25 and Inflation at 4.9% was a forced move to raise by the RBNZ yet it was also a smart move.


The RBNZ had 2 choices and the same 2 choices for all central banks. Raise interest rates or restrict the money supply. The RBNZ choice was raise interest rates while the Fed and other central banks are on the path to restrict money supplies so not to touch the interest rate. Prior to QE, central banks would’ve all raised in a New York second to protect the economy.


Among all central banks, the RBNZ is by far the smartest but also the most independent as they act for the good of New Zealand first without regard to other central banks.


By OCR raise even by 25 points, the move was a lateral move with no effect to market instruments. The 10 year yield dropped 13 points since November 24, 14 points to the 2 year and 20 points to the 5 year and 6 points to the 90 day.


Rather than the trade to above interest rates, the effect to the exchange rate by 0.25 as primary importance was nothing and a fat zero effect. Seen in the day trade. Seen from overall RBNZ interest rates contained zero effects.


NZD/USD broke 0.6846 and traded to 0.6779 or 67 pips. Raise or no raise, NZD was trading lower upon the 0.6846 break.


Interest rates changed since 2016. The overnight rate once traded freely and closed at various points depending on trade for the day. Interest maturities also traded freely and closed based on market moves. Daily, a distance existed between the new overnight rate and maturities. A large distance meant good volatility for the next trade day while short distances experienced small ranges and no volatility.


Overnight rates today are held purposefully in tiny ranges and close based on the small range. FED Funds for example closed at 0.08 for many past months. The work, trading and profits is the result of trade in maturities. Maturities never trade far from overnight rates. And this restricts exchange rate movements by the post 2016 methods.


While the RBNZ raised 25 points, maturities maintained pace with 75 so the effect to the exchanger rate was literally zero. Movement to NZD is not the result of 50 or 75 but based on the interest rate structure which didn’t change at all, not one iota.

If the RBNZ held steady without a raise then no difference existed to NZD. The choice was higher above 0.6846 or lower below 0.6846.


While focus on 75, raise, lower or hold steady, the difference between FED, ECB, BOE or any central bank interest rates is the same old thing. The effect to the exchange rate is the exact same from central bank to central bank.


Interst rate numbers appear different because of appearance of large numbers between central banks but its the exact same to exchange rates.


Was the RBNZ raise a dovish or hawkish move is an irrelevant question. The move was lateral with zero effect. Interest rate numbers are pertinent to the economics to any particular nation’s system but not to the exchange rate when measured against another central bank.


If the RBNZ moved in a much bolder way by an enormous raise or lower then central banks would’ve called emergency meetings to match the move as the exchange rate is most important nation to nation. Central banks won’t ever allow a particular nation to gain large advantage to exchange rates.


See the lessons from the 1930’s exchange rate wars and a fascinating read. Today’s trade methodology gained from the 1930’s is never to allow exchange rates nation to nation to trade far from each other.

The example from the 1930’s is never to allow a nation to gain export advantage over another nation. To do so would bring the same exchange rate wars as in the 1930’s or a battle to adjust massively interest rates.


The greatest battle of the 1930’s was the French Franc Vs GBP as nations sought to destroy GBP by sheer central bank collusion to beat GBP in exports.


NZD/USD 5 numbers for today, 0.6758, 0.6771, 0.6779, 0.6810 and 0.6828.


NZD/JPY


For interested, NZD/JPY achieved target at 76.00’s from 80.00’s and 81.00’s. JPY cross pairs for November profited 2000, 2500, 3000 pips?


Merit and trade skills moved to irrelevant status today in favor of cheap subscriptions and social media views. The competition today for subscriptions is race to the bottom to achieve greater subscriptions than the next guy and to watch screens all day.


USD/JPY


Weekly Trade as posted: short 113.70 and 113.89 to target 113.11. Highs achieved 113.94 and lows to 113.11 for +83 pips.


Most vital as written is the break at today’s 112.95 to decide higher or lower. A big big break and USD/JPY traded to 112.68 or + 27 Pips.


USD/JPY is now on the way to the 109 target.


USD/JPY 5 vital numbers for today: 112.61, 112.82, 113.01, 113.46 and 113.77. USD/JPY is at day’s bottoms, long.

Brian Twomey

GBP/JPY Weekly Trade

GBP/JPY Weekly Trade


Posted on my youtube channel at Brian Twomey Forex and Trading Battle as a guy offered an incorrect GBP/JPY trade. Never showed up on either channel. If I knew how to operate you -tube, i would post tons of great content.


Due to masses of incorrect content and failed trades from rookie traders however, views are slim for most FX posts all around on you tube. Plus incompetents like Kathy Liens crooked, Boris the Schloss and Pip Czar run the major sites, Fx traders are consolidated on those sites. The crooks run the asylum today. FX Street is no different as all push extremely hard for subscriptions and every article mentions expert 1000 times. Such crooks. They turn my stomach.

We can only pray for their ruin and total destruction by the harm they caused to multitudes of traders. We will cheer that day.


They may be called traders but they aren’t trading.


GBP/JPY

  1. Long Anywhere or 151.37 to target 152.86
  2. To 152.86. By 151.52, 151.67, 151.82, 151.96, 152.11, 152.26, 152.41, 152.56, 152.71. Show me anyone competent enough to assist by vital levels.
  3. Long above 153.32 to target 153.94. Assumes 153.32 breaks above. Preparation is key.
  4. Short 153.94 to target 153.48. Assumes 153.32 breaks.
  5. Short 152.86 to target 152.40. Assumes 153.32 holds.

  6. Available pips and profit Pips
  7. 301 total pips available.
  8. 195 pips available if 153.32 fails to break.
  9. 151.37 to 152.86 = 149 pips.
  10. 153.32 to 153.94 = 62 pips
  11. 153.94 to 153.48 = 46 pips.
  12. 152.86 to 152.40 = 46 pips.

  13. This is not only the mastery of trading to profit from 50% to 100% of available pips but its why traders rely on Brian Twomey due to big profits and precise trading. I do what very few if any traders can match.

Brian Twomey

FX Weekly: USD/JPY, DXY, EUR, AUD, GBP, NZD

Currency and all financial market prices are infatuated to trade to the brink and to extremes. And many examples exist throughout years of trading and markets. DXY 96.94 before vital 97.00’s, then drop. USD/CAD 1.2819, then drop. GBP/USD last Monday 1.3419 and 1.3387 then drop.


For interested, USD/JPY achieved weekly target at 113.35 and offered 31 extra pips from trade to 113.04. From 115.51 and 2 lots resulted in 323 pips.


CAD/JPY achieved target at 88.36 from 92.00’s and traded to 88.40. GBP/CAD target at 1.6600’s traded to low 1.6700’s from 1.7000’s, EUR/CAD achieved 1.4100’s from 1.4400’s. All trades previously posted and the list fails to include weekly and daily trades.


DXY Vs WTI Vs Gold Vs S&P


While DXY and Gold trade above 5 year averages, the S&P’s and WTI also trade above 5 year averages. DXY and Gold are the safe assets while WTI and the S&P’s the risk instruments. If DXY and GOLD remain above 5 year averages then WTI and S&P’s must drop below the 5 year.


10 Year Yield


Closed 1.48 and in the range from 1.2290 to 1.6146 as posted September 29. October and November held a range from 1.7111 to 1.4210. Below 1.2290 targets the range from 1.2290 to 1.1803. Above 1.6146 targets the range from 1.6146 to 1.8696.

 The Week

DXY’s drop from 96.94 fell prior to next resistance at 97.16. Next targets are located at 97.62, 98.14, 98.47, 98.52, 98.62 and 98.81. Above levels are short points to USD currencies and long EUR, GBP and AUD. DXY from the close at 96.07 contains only 100 pips to 97.16 which means count 100 pips lower for EUR, GBP, AUD and long entries are established.


DXY 96.94 allowed USD/JPY to trade to 113.35 target and EUR/USD to 1.1305 and a continuation to long only strategies.


While last week was a tough week, the current week strategy is throw a dart at any currency to trade and profit.


USD/CAD Vs CAD/JPY V CAD/CHF


USD/CAD dropped Friday from 1.2796 to 1.2776 and a dead move for CAD. USD/CAD for the week sits massive overbought but for week 2, lacks range ability. CAD/JPY and CAD/CHF will lead the way higher this week and drive USD/CAD lower.


USD/CHF and USD/JPY


USD/CHF 0.9231 decides CHF fate while USD/JPY 112.92 break targets much lower to middle 111.00’s and closer to 109 target. USD/CAD is the odd ball currency again to its brothers USD/CHF and USD/JPY.


JPY cross pairs are all oversold for the week and sitting just ahead of massive supports. NZD/JPY is added to the list of JPY cross pairs but dead last and only because NZD/PY trades just above supports and correlates to high 90% to USD/JPY. Oversold JPY cross pairs assumes higher and short tops for USD/JPY.


CHF/JPY 122.35 decides CHF/JPY higher and lower. CHF/JPY 122.35 corresponds to USD/JPY 112.92 and USD/CHF 0.9231. All will break together.


AUD/USD


While 0.7309 and 0.7338 are primary price drivers, 0.7338 is massive oversold along with all AUD cross pairs. AUD/USD 0.6900 target is 200 pips from the 0.7112 close. Long only strategies is the preferred way forward.


NZD/USD


Same story to NZD over the past 5 weeks. NZD/USD contains range, noise and problems to its cross pairs. Until this situation rectifies, better trades exist.


GBP


GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, GBP/AUD and caution GBP/NZD are preferred GBP trades for the week. GBP/JPY earns a place on the GBP rankings due to overbought and the pips are easy to profit.


USD/JPY


No thrill to this weekly trade but here’s the basic set up. Short 113.70 and 113.89 to target 113.11. The USD/JPY driver is DXY as USD/JPY always shared a high 90% correlation to DXY. The potential upside to DXY is exactly 109 pips to 97.16 which places USD/JPY at 114.08 and 114.23.


DXY tops and short points for Monday are located at 96.31 then 96.56 and during the week at 97.05 which says 97.16 may not trade this week.

Brian Twomey

EUR/NZD, USD/JPY, JPY Cross Pairs, AUD, NZD

EUR/NZD as written November 3 to long term targets, EUR/NZD traded to 1.6081 lows and here’s the commentary: Long term targets assumes the 10 year breaks higher to target 1.6490, 1.6522, 1.6555 then 1.6697. EUR/NZD broke 1.6419 and traded to highs at 1.6559.


Longs from 1.6081 lows runs + 478 pips. Trade duration was 3 weeks.
GBP/NZD from November 3 commentary and lows at 1.8900;s: GBP/NZD higher must again break 1.9137 to target 1.9262, 1.9279 and 1.9397. Further GBP/NZD runs into a brick wall at 1.9412, 1.9467 and 1.9488.


GBP/NZD traded to 1.9547 highs. We can only take credit for November 3 targets at 1.9397 and +400ish pips.


Don’t lose sight to posts, trades and targets.


GBP/AUD remained a constant throughout November as GBP/AUD hit the 1.8400’s vital break then traded to first 1.8500’s then today at 1.8600’s.


USD/JPY


The Weekly trade went off track by 95 pips to entry and the 2nd week to a free money, market bonus as 1 lot added from 115.51 now trades 113.65 lows and again the target remains 113.35. The first lot +186 pips and 2nd lot runs +92 pips for a grand total of +278 pips. The target at 113.35 is within 30 pips.


USD/JPY was a 5 day trade and only requirement was a few clicks then go live life and pay no attention to screen watching or market blabber.


A trade begins at entry and ends at target and due to this situation, no stops, screen watching and nothing to do except clicks then watch the money pile high quickly.
What changed in the last 10 years was sophistication of trades as we trade up and down continuously from target to target. And done effortlessly as seen over years.


GBP/JPY and JPY Cross Pairs


GBP/JPY from 156.00’s November 3 traded to 151.11 lows or 500 pips. Target finally achieved.


As written and written, JPY cross pairs contain miles of downside. Miles of downside traded and miles more to go.


AUD/JPY achieved target at 81.33 from 85.00 highs. NZD/JPY achieved 77.00 lows to 76.00 target. CAD/JPY achieved 89.03 lows from 91.00 and 92.00 highs on a target at 88.36. CAD/JPY is close.


AUD/USD


AUD/USD target from 0.7309 is located at 0.6900 exactly and above big break for higher is located at 0.7285 or typical 300 pips range.


NZD/USD
Broke 0.6846 to trade to 0.6804 lows. As written 3 days ago, next lines exist at 0.6779 and 0.6744.


DXY despite a typical dead issue trade, highs achieved 96.95 to 96.30 lows and dropped from reported massive lines from 97.00’s and 98.00’s.


The list of targets as posted prior at fxstreet and my blog is endless. Trades are delivered as day trades, 24 hour trades, weekly trades and long term target trades.

Ask this question while waiting for targets. How was life spent outside markets.

Brian Twomey

Thanksgiving, EUR, GBP, JPY, AUD

On this day to give thanks to god and country, year 18 begins during this time. An extremely long and hard fought battle to maintain existence. Year 2003 and 2004 markets were fast and moved far and wide quickly.


As a Political Science Professor and teaching full loads every semester, the goal then was stop the paychecks to disappear to the markets. I made the professional losers of today look like they were Sainted by the Pope and Knighted by the Queen by the amount of losses.


As a Professor, life was good as FX trading was not a prerequisite to a better life. But losses turned into a provocation, a confrontation then an ultimatum and passionate challenge.


I accepted the challenge anyway using pen, paper and calculator and I vowed then, to figure how and why the red and blue lights moved and after 17 years, I know how the lights move from Red to Blue.


Every bank research report was read as well as central bank research papers. Then I went behind every figure, calculation and factor to understand what these analysts were talking about. Currency analysts then as opposed to today were true pros and masters at their craft and much was gained by understanding vast FX knowledge. Yet FX knowledge is a life long pursuit as things change from time to time to require adjustments.


Trades for example radically changed, duration to targets radically changed. From $50 lots to trade today by spreads is another. Interest rates and interest rate markets radically changed. The only constant is money supplies connected to Futures prices. Speculation is this was the premise to design Futures markets and prices.


Today’s results speak for themselves as the progression to 15 + years of trades, education and knowledge was published on my blog and Fxstreet. I achieved far more than I bargained for 18 years ago.

All I wanted then was to re gain my losses and earn a few extra dollars by trading. I passed that objective. Yesterday’s Pen, paper and calculator is still the preferred method to trade. After 20 + years teaching college, I walked away. All the many offers to manage money, I turned down.


Eventually, I will walk away especially if challenges and further knowledge no longer exist to pursue other interests and passions. An opportune time as 50 years of markets is here and we will move to different markets, different market structures. Happens every 50 years.


I will assure to those with me for many many years, all will have enough money to sustain themselves easily well beyond their years and thensome.


The Week


EUR/USD Vs DXY


EUR/USD target at now 1.1022 from 1.1490 is not only close but EUR/USD is vastly oversold. The strategy moving forward is long only. DXY achieved 96.91 highs at the same time EUR/USD traded to 1.1187 lows.


DXY’s brick wall at 97.00 and 98.00 is here from 95.25. Current EUR/USD target now runs to 1.1445 and 1.1485 and bumps against the 5 year average at now 1.1496. The 1.1496 line is a rising line to assist to long EUR/USD strategies.


Where EUR/USD becomes interesting to long only strategies is EUR enters its seasonal downtrend in December and especially January. This reveals the 1.1496 line break above may take more time to allow a further rise.


USD/JPY


As EUR/USD traded to deeply oversold lows at 1.1187, USD/JPY decided to travel further overbought to 115.50 highs and 95 pips off this week’s entry. Another rare market blessing is upon us as deeply overbought USD/JPY targets a break at 112.85 then 111.62 and 111.19.


Massive and many averages exist at 109.00’s and the overall target at 109.00’s may also take time to allow the averages to drop. Short only strategies is the only trade.
The current driver to currency markets is EUR/USD Vs USD/JPY rather than traditional GBP/USD Vs USD/CAD.


GBP/USD


Bottoms and vital lines for GBP/USD are located at 1.3232 and 1.3102 at the 5 year average. GBP/USD sits deeply oversold. Big line breaks above are located at 1.3387 and 1.3467 to targets upper 1.3500’s. A break at 1.3595 is required to target 1.3600’s then 1.3800’s.

Why 1.3600’s mention is the target from 1.3102 is located at 1.3600’s.
USD/CAD trades between 1.2819 and 1.2547 as big breaks to higher and lower. Here’s USD/CAD big line targets and breaks: 1.2229, 1.2351, 1.2547, 1.2819, 1.2839 then the 5 year average at 1.3042. USD/CAD above 1.2351 trades in 200 ish pip ranges between vital levels.


AUD/USD


Big line breaks are located at 0.7285, 0.7309 then 0.7289 to targets 0.7400’s and higher.


NZD and RBNZ


NZD/JPY for RBNZ 50 pips, NZD/USD 41 pips and 31 pips for NZD/CHF. And not in 1 direction. Correct to leave RBNZ alone and don’t bother as nothing existed to trade.

If RBNZ raised or lowered 100 points or remained on hold, NZD would ‘ve traded the exact same pip movements because NZD prices contain big problems and doesn’t have anywhere to go.

Brian Twomey

DXY V EUR/USD and RBNZ V NZD/USD

Current DXY at 96.40 approaches many and massive averages from 97.00’s to 98.00’s. EUR/USD traded to 1.1226 lows while DXY achieved tops at 96.61. Reversals for higher and lower DXY Vs EUR/USD are located at 95.25 DXY and EUR/USD 1.1494. DXY trades within 60 pips to a brick wall.


DXY day trade tops today are located at 96.79,96.91 and 97.04 while EUR/USD bottoms are located at 1.1210, 1.1197, 1.1191 and 1.1177.


On a reversal higher EUR/USD tops are located at 1.1262 and 1.1291 Vs DXY bottoms at 96.30. 96.18 and 96.06. DXY 96.06 bottom should match close to EUR/USD at 1.1262 and 1.1291.


EUR/USD sits currently deeply oversold. EUR/USD began the week massive oversold.


GBP/USD at current 1.3300’s trades within 200 pips to its 5 year average at 1.3101 while USD/CAD at 1.2700’s trades within 300 pips to 1.3043. GBP/USD at current prices sits deeply oversold and overbought USD/CAD.


RBNZ


Probabilities RBNZ raises OCR from 0.50 to 0.75 sits at +43% and 33% to raise from 0.50 to 1.00 while a 80% probability exists to OCR on hold.


The only scenario to possible raise is OCR’s overnight drop from 0.52 to 0.48 or 4 points. However OCR traded from 0.23 to 0.20 throughout the month of September. A raise was signaled not by OCR but by the 30 day rate while today’s non movement to interest rates and yields provides no warning to possible OCR movements. We’re on the side of on hold.


NZD/USD and NZD/CAD


NZD/USD approaches its 5 year average at 0.6846. To consider a possible break lower, NZD/USD must first trade below 0.6888 and 0.6840 then 0.6779 and 0.6744. Above is located 0.6932 to range from 0.6932 to 0.7048 and 0.7051.


NZD/USD’s problem to ranges is both NZD/USD and NZD/JPY trade above 5 year averages while NZD/CHF and NZD/CAD trade below. NZD lacks uniformity. Either NZD/USD breaks below 0.6846 and NZD/JPY at 76.57 or NZD/CHF trades above 0.6596 and NZD/CAD 0.8919.


NZD’s main problem is NZD/CAD as it trades between 2 giant points from 0.8829 to 0.8919 or 90 pips. NZD/CAD’s price path is found by 0.8817, 0.8826, 0.8829 then 0.8869.


Watch NZD/JPY at 79.43 for lower prices.


Until NZD/USD and NZD cross pairs right size to trade in proper locations then NZD will continue to trade as a problem currency and best to avoid as better and more profitable trades exist.

Brian Twomey

Correlations: EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD

Correlations listed below are derived from my averages 5 to 253 days. The 253 day average is an average of 7 nations yearly trading days. The 253 day is exact to USD and New Zealand. Why include 253 is because the 200 day or 6 months correspondence to markets is strange and not completely explained.


The averages total 7 which places the 50 day direct center to 5, 10 and 20 below and 100, 200 and 253 above. Averages are exact and perfect which means Correlations are perfect. Applying faulty averages from charts abuses the privilege for correct correlations. A negative correlation may end as positive or positive may end as negative.


Correlations are good for at least 1 month.


NZD/USD as seen is negatively correlated to NZD/JPY, NZD/CHF and NZD/CAD. USD/JPY owns JPY cross pairs by correlation except EUR/JPY.


NZD/USD


NZD/USD Vs NZD/JPY -12% or 12%
NZD/USD Vs NZD/CHF -0.04% or 04%
NZD/USD Vs NZD/CAD -0.27% or 27%


EUR/USD


EUR/USD Vs EUR/JPY + 0.62 or 62%
EUR/USD Vs EUR/GBP + 0.94 or 94%.
EUR/USD Vs EUR/CHF + 0.98% or 98%.
EUR/USD Vs EUR/CAD + 0.97% or 97%.
EUR/USD Vs EUR/NZD + 0.98% or 98%.
EUR/USD Vs EUR/AUD +0.85 or 85%.


GBP/USD


GBP/USD Vs GBP/JPY -0.52 or 52%.
GBP/USD Vs GBP/CHF +0.96 or 96%.
GBP/USD Vs GBP/CAD 0.94% or 94%.
GBP/USD Vs GBP/NZD +0.97% or 97%.
GBP/USD Vs GBP/AUD +0.51% or 51%.


AUD/USD


AUD/USD Vs AUD/JPY -0.21% or 21%.
AUD/USD Vs AUD/CHF +0.95% or 95%.
AUD/USD Vs AUD/CAD +0.95% or 95%.
AUD/USD Vs AUD/NZD +0.97% or 97%.


USD/CAD


USD/CAD Vs CAD/JPY – 0.29% or 29%.
USD/CAD Vs CAD/CHF -0.47% or 47%.
CAD/JPY Vs CAD/CHF +0.42% or 42%. Same currency pair

Brian Twomey

DXY Vs EUR/USD, USD/JPY Correlations, GBP

Currency prices enter a fairly horrible week ahead as ranges are non existent and driven by proximity to 5 year averages. The 2 main drivers to overall currency markets are DXY and EUR/USD as tops and bottoms are within 200 pips at DXY 97.00’s and 98.00’s Vs EUR/USD 1.1100’s and 1.1018 target.


DXY Vs EUR/USD


As last written in September while DXY traded 91.00’s and 92.00’s, massive resistance existed at 94.00’s then the 5 year average at 95.00’s. DXY broke above the 5 year average at current 95.25 to trade to 96.14 highs. EUR/USD simultaneously broke below its 5 year average at 1.1490 and traded 239 pips lower to 1.1251.


DXY from current 96.07, contains in its price path massive resistance and tops from 97.00’s to 98.00’s and close at 200 pips. EUR/USD 200 pips lower places its price at 1.1100’s and current target at 1.1018.


DXY on the way down must break 95.51, 95.45 then 95.25 at the 5 year average to target 92.00’s and 91.00’s again where the uptrend began. EUR/USD on the way up must break 1.1469, 1.1494, 1.1589, 1.1601, 1.1630 to target 1.1700’s and 1.1800’s. Big lines are located at 1.1804 then 1.1991.


EUR/USD sits deeply oversold from averages at 1.1500’s, and 1.1600’s to 1.1800’s.


DXY Vs USD GOLD and S&P’s


Gold’s rise is explained by DXY’s break above the 5 year average as Gold and DXY both trade above 5 year averages and both are finally aligned after a 1 year hiatus when DXY traded below 5 year averages and Gold traded above. The S&P’s above its 5 year average at 2700;s from last check is now vulnerable to align correctly with DXY and Gold by trading below the 5 year average.


JPY Cross Pair Correlations


EUR/USD Vs EUR/JPY and USD/JPY


EUR/JPY relinquished correlations to USD/JPY at current -47% and aligned to EUR/USD at +62%. EUR/JPY for the week is deeply oversold along with EUR/USD. Big move for EUR/JPY as its place as widely traded currency pair since 2001 by 3 year Triennial reports is to serve as the premiere risk instrument to JPY cross pairs. EUR/USD and USD/JPY correctly correlate at -97%.


GBP/USD, GBP/JPY and USD/JPY


While GBP/USD and USD/JPY correlate at -96%, GBP/USD lost its correlations to GBP/JPY at -52% as GBP/JPY aligned to USD/JPY at +71%.


AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, USD/JPY


AUD/USD correlates -83% to USD/JPY and -21% to AUD/JPY while USD/JPY owns AUD/JPY at +71%.


NZD/USD, NZD/JPY, USD/JPY


NZD/USD correlates negative 32% to USD/JPY and minus 12% to NZD/JPY. USD/JPY owns NZD/JPY by high correlations at +97%.


USD/CAD, CAD/JPY, USD/JPY


USD/CAD Correlates to USD/JPY at +54% and +29% to CAD/JPY. USD/JPY correlations run +95% to CAD/JPY.


DXY Vs USD/JPY and JPY Cross Pairs


The caution is EUR/JPY to mis correlations and oddball currency Vs USD/JPY. Rare day for GBP/JPY to not correlate to GBP/USD but a current bonus for shorts. As DXY reaches its top at 97.00’s and 98.00’s, USD/JPY will follow along with JPY cross pairs. Both contain many miles of downside yet to trade.


The Week


GBP this week is a continuation from last week as favored trades and premiere category. Top ranked are GBP/USD, GBP/JPY and GBP/CHF while caution is advised for GBP/CAD, GBP/NZD and possibly GBP/AUD. GBP/AUD traded 500 pips higher in the last 2 weeks and approaches overbought. Shorts are preferred however divergence exists to EUR/AUD. GBP/AUD is the better trade.


Oversold EUR/NZD diverges to GBP/NZD’s due to GBP/NZD’s proximity to its 5 year average at 1.9158. EUR/NZD is the preferred trade.


NZD/USD, NZD/CHF and NZD/CAD contain severe noise and range problems and for the week as in the past 4 weeks, no interest exists to trade NZD currencies. Short is the only direction for NZD/JPY as the only viable trade however other and better trades exist than to touch NZD/JPY. Target at 76.00’s remain outstanding.


RBNZ


RBNZ’s OCR at current 0.50 is higher than AUD at 0.10, matches GBP Sonia at 0.5, matches ECB Eonia at 0.5 and lower than the FED at 0.8. Not seen is a raise nor are RBNZ interest rates signaling a raise. On hold is more acceptable.


CAD


CAD this week is driven by CAD/JPY as USD/CAD and CAD/CHF contains range problems. CAD/JPY drove the trifecta relationship last week.


GBP and USD/JPY


Best trades and categories are USD/JPY, JPY cross pairs and GBP as AUD/USD and cross pairs also contain problems. USD/CHF is untouchable from its own range problems.


USD/JPY Weekly Trade


Short 114.37 and 114.48 to target 113.36.

Brian Twomey

USD/JPY and JPY Cross Pairs

USD/JPY’s target at 113.30 achieved 113.57 lows. As outlined to trade choices from a missed entry at 114.27 and 114.32, and the rise to 114.96, 2 lots held from 114.96 and 114.27 runs +209 pips. The 2nd lot from 114.96 to 114.27 profited +69 pips if traders bailed while the first lot ran free and clear. Either way to outlined choices, no concept exists to losses in trading.


Levels on the downside as follows: 113.72,113.53 and 113.44.


EUR/JPY from the 129.24 target from 132.00’s achieved new lows at 127.97. EUR/JPY faces massive levels at 126.52, 125.90 and 125.46. All massive breaks to result in a deeper EUR/JPY drop if broken. EUR/JPY sits currently at richter scale oversold .

As written, USD/JPY and JPY cross pairs contain a long way to drop and short only strategy. GBP/JPY broke 153.66 to the downside and traded to 152.51 lows. Supports are close at 151.09 and 150.12. Longs look promising for next week.


AUD/JPY achieved new lows at 82.16 against the target at 81.33 and 83 pips to go. AUD/JPY is free and clear to roam and range as 80.17 contains the big support and next major break to trade miles lower.


NZD/JPY finally achieved a move and new lows at 79.51. Like AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY contains wide range ability as 76.55 and 75.09 remains a far distant break, so far.


CAD/JPY target at 88.36 from 92.00’s achieved also new lows at 89.69 and 133 pips to target. No trouble for CAD/JPY to next support level at 86.91. CAD/JPY, AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY commonality is all are allowed free and wide range movements. All are the best pairs to trade alongside GBP/JPY.

Caution however to NZD/JPY as NZD for the month hasn’t been a terrific trade choice as NZD/USD is stuck inside 0.6800’s to 0.7200’s.


Overall currency markets dictates by GBP/USD below at 1.3099 Vs USD/CAD at 1.3044.

GBP/USD trades 400 pips above 1.3099 while USD/CAD trades 400 pips to 1.3044. if either GBP/USD or USD/CAD breaks higher, lower or simultaneously then much more downside exisdts to GBP/USD and Upside to USD/CAD.


While we wait, GBP/USD and USD/CAD will trade in wide ranges and good trade choices for upcoming week;s.


JPY cross pairs all sit deeply oversold and a rise is expected next week. The overall question is how are Correlations running from USD/JPY to JPY cross pairs. Last check was high +90%. This will eventually switch to negative from positive to respective anchor pairs.


For example as EUR/USD to EUR/JPY high correlations and AUD/USD to AUD/JPY. This switch will radically change currency markets to risk favored and to trade in wider ranges as opposed to present dead movements.

Brian Twomey

USD/JPY and JPY Cross Pair Targets, EUR, GBP

USD/JPY add 1 lot short yesterday at 114.96 resulted to trade lows at 113.87 and + 109 Pips. The first lot from short 114.27 and 114.32 runs +40 pips for a total of + 149 pips. From 113.87, target at 113.30 is now close at 57 pips lower.


No such concept as a loss in trading exists and only 1 day was lost to time. The traded financial instrument doesn’t matter as the methodologies remain the same.


While USD/JPY traded to 114.96 for the weekly trade, friends and subscribers benefited from 8 day trades since the Sunday open as we trade day trades twice daily. And all trades had no choice except to trade short as target was 113.30. Yesterday’s extra lot was a bonus.


USD/JPY to target remains to vital breaks at 113.60, 113.42, 113.33 and 113.24. Day trade lows today are located at 113.77 and 113.63. Overall long term strategy remains short only.


EUR/JPY target achieved


From JPY cross pair long term trade targets posted Oct 15. EUR/JPY achieved target at 129.24 and traded to lows at 129.02 for 22 extra pips. From 132.00’s, trade ran +300 ish pips.


AUD/JPY target at 81.33 traded to 82.67 lows from 84.00’s and 85.00’s depending on trader entry. Trade runs + 200 to 300 ish pips.

CAD/JPY target at 88.36 from 92.00’s traded to lows at 90.23 for +200 ish pips.


GBP/JPY target at 151.78 achieved lows at 152.14 from 157.00’s, 158.00’s for 600 ish pips. A grand total of 1500 ish pips, 4 trades and 1 month.


NZD/JPY remains open yet runs +150 to 200 ish pips. CHF/JPY was completed at 500 ish pips from highs at 122.00’s to 117.00’s. The worst trade as written was NZD/JPY as NZD/USD and cross pairs remained on bottom trade rankings all month. NZD failed to perform yet known in advance by weekly trades.


USD/JPY and JPY cross pairs contain far more downside. USD/JPY target as posted remains 109.50. USD/JPY currently trades overbought and required for more downside is a break at 112.51.


EUR/USD


EUR/USD traded to lows at 1.1262 from 1.1490. November 10 was posted lower targets as follows: 1.1457, 1.1429, 1.1379, 1.1258 and 1.1197. EUR/USD 1.1262 traded just prior to the next big break at 1.1258. EUR/USD November 10 traded at 1.1500’s.


GBP


For next week as mentioned yesterday, GBP/JPY is on the watch list as it trades overbought to oversold GBP/USD. GBP/JPY closes at 153.66 or in the vicinity changes views to GBP/USD as exclusion to top trades next week. GBP/JPY can easily achieve 153.66 and lower.


Current overbought USD/CAD on the other side, is running into range problems and requires a move otherwise, USD/CAD trades dead next week.

Brian Twomey. Interested in trades, contact [email protected]

MID Week: EUR, GBP, AUD, JPY, NZD

Point of note to yesterday’s Gold / Currency trades was not only +92 points but completed in a total of 12 trades and structured as day trades. All financial instruments as day trades must structure as day trades to know what to trade, where and when.


If Norway’s stock market as the benchmark OSE was traded for its total of 6 points today, then 6 points must find its structure. The Oslo OMX 20 traded today so far 8 points. Those 8 points must be structured to profit from the 8 points. Silver yesterday traded 25.48 – 24.82 or 0.66 points. Set up as a day trade, then comes profit.


Knowledge of the financial instrument traded doesn’t matter a hill of beans. Anyone can trade for example the stock market Index in Cucamonga or a single stock in Cucamunga and profit as long as the structure is right.


USD/JPY and the Repair Trade


USD/JPY’s weekly target traded to 114.96 or 67 points off kilter. What a blessing. Rare for such wrong but the strategy is add 1 lot.


The choices are trade the extra lot to breakeven then exit with profit. Exit both lots with profit on the 2nd lot and breakeven on the first lot. Exit the 2nd lot with profit and continue to trade the first lot to target. Or trade both lots to target. Never a loss as target is the trade. Lost is time but never profits. Entries are secondary to targets.


USD/JPY is massively overbought short. medium and long term from the 5 year average at 109.00’s and this richter scale overbought status won’t hold.


EUR/GBP = 0.8507, and 10 and 15 year averages at 0.8426 and 0.8401. EUR/GBP broke below and traded to 0.8388 lows. EUR/GBP’s drop assisted EUR/USD to travel lower and higher for GBP/USD and all GBP cross pairs. EUR/GBP is not the pair to trade but currently stands massive oversold to match oversold

EUR/USD.


EUR/GBP is the currency pair to hold EUR/USD and GBP/USD prices in place and prevents EUR/USD and GBP/USD to trade to outer space limits. From current EUR/USD and GBP/USD, EUR/GBP trades from 0.8839 to 0.7438.


GBP/AUD and GBP/NZD were this week’s winners as both traded 250 pip higher. GBP oversold as written Sunday was the best category to trade and all GBP pairs traveled higher. From 19 currency pairs traded weekly, does 60 pips make a difference to USD/JPY. Not when 19 pairs trade to targets and profits.


EUR/USD from 1.1490, traded to 1.1262 or 228 pips. EUR/USD target is located at 1.1016. Today’s EUR/USD day trade bottoms are located at 1.1244 and 1.1252 Vs highs at 1.1329 and 1.1358. EUR/USD contains a bit more downside then long for longer terms. The driver to EUR are deeply oversold averages from 1.1500’s to 1.1800’s.


USD/CHF and CHF/JPY traded richter scale overbought to richter scale overbought. Both good shorts for a few day trade pips.


GBP/JPY sits overbought and GBP/USD remains oversold with upside potential to 1.3559 for the week and 1.3499 for today’s day trade. GBP/PY overbought and GBP/USD oversold is a problem situation which informs next week, we leave GBP to top rankings.


AUD/USD 0.7309 remains a giant break while NZD/USD 0.6846 sits yet to break. NZD/USD and NZD cross pairs like USD/CHF and EUR/GBP is not the pair to rush and trade until NZD/USD assumes a correct position and range. AUD is not only the better pair to trade but AUD has been steady and profitable over the past 4 weeks and no changes seen over next weeks.

Brian Twomey

Gold Results V USD, AUD, NZD, EUR, CAD, GBP

Posted Gold trades per currency pair this morning were specifically mentioned as day trades to run from the new fall time from 1:30 am EST to 9:00 am EST. Gold priced in USD or any currency shares the commonality as Gold rather than the specific currency. Gold is the main trade.


Every currency priced in Gold traded from lows then highs and back to lows. The only difference was the specific range to each Gold priced in specific currencies. CAD Gold was the clear winner followed by Gold priced in AUD, NZD, USD then EUR and GBP.


Due to known ranges before trade entry, multiple longs and shorts posted. All trades profited 50% of the known ranges by 1 long and 1 short. The initial trades at 1:30 am just missed entry to additional trades and failed to trade or count to totals.


USA Gold


Range 1861.41 – 1877.22 or 15.81 points. 1877.22 to 1858.52 or 18.70 points. Total range 34.51 points.
Long 1866.57, target 1875.91, + 9.34 points. Short 1875.91, target 1871.24. + 4.67 Points.


Total +14.01 points on 34.51 range.


NZD Gold


Range 2648.59 – 2670.37 or 21.78 Points. 2670.37 – 2657.00 or 13.37 points. Total 35.15 points.


Long 2652.73, target 2667.00. +14.27. Short 2667.00, target 2660.36. + 6.64 points.


Total + 20.91 points on 35 point range.


AUD Gold


Range 2537.67 – 2557.51 or 19.84 points. 2557.51 to 2540.14 or 17.37. Total range 37 points.


Long 2541.19, target 2553.90. + 12.71. Short 2553.90, target 2547.54. +6.36 points.


Total +19.07 Points on 37 point total range.


CAD Gold


Range 2331.59 – 2352.23 or 20.65 Points. 2352.23 – 2332.89 or 19.34 Points. Total Range 39.99 points.


Long 2334.73, target 2346.41. + 11.68. Short 2346.41, target 2340.57. + 5.84.


Total + 17.52 points on 39.99 range.


EUR Gold


Range 1637.23 – 1650.96 or 13.73 points. 1650.96 – 1640.29 or 10.67 points. Total range 24.40 points.


Long 1639.03, target 1647.23. +8.2 points. Short 1647.23, target 1643.13. +4.1 points.


Total + 12.30 points on 24.40 point range.


GBP Gold


Range 1384.09 – 1395.72 or 11.63 points. 1395.72 – 1384.70 or 11.02 points. Total range 22.65 Points.


Long 1388.96, target 1395.91. + 6.95 Points. Short 1395.91, target 1392.43. + 3.48 points.


Total +10.43 points on 22.65 range.

Brian Twomey

GOLD Vs EUR, GBP, USD, CAD, AUD, NZD

The Gold price as highlighted many times on these pages is derived from the London, Bullion Markets Association since the 1700’s. Gold and Silver are currencies used since biblical days.


Today’s currencies and prices are derived from either Silver or Gold upon transition to exchange rates. Gold, Silver and metals are actually currencies under a different name and no different from the exchange rates we know today. All are inter related and deeply connected. The names and numbers were changed to protect the innocent.


USD/JPY and Asia for example are Silver currencies. JPY/USD for example is currently priced at 0.0087535 Vs current Silver 0.0397614. Imperative to take JPY/USD to 7 decimal places. South, Central America and Mexican currencies are Silver currencies.


Europe and Euro are Gold Currencies as well as Canada and DXY. Although DXY with an exchange rate at 95.48 or 0.010473 at current prices is arguably a Silver Currency. For 0 Point currencies are distinguished by Silver and 1 Point currencies as Gold.


Gold/ Silver Ratio


Divide Gold by Silver and the Gold/Silver Ratio is established for USD or any currency’s Gold divided by Silver prices.


Gold and Silver yearly Ranges


Gold Yearly Range 1972.80 to 1679.92 or 292 Points or 24 points per month. No excitement here. Silver 1 Year Range 30.09 to 21.38 or 8.71 Points or not even 1 point per month.


August 2021 as Written


Here’ Gold’s lineup: 1510.03 at the 5 year average then 1557.30, 1615.43, 1747.80 and 1839.59. Gold held the 5 year average and traded higher and known since August at the 5 year average. At 292 points per year, how much did the 5 year average change. Hardly if any movements.


Gold Currencies and Day Trades


Today’s day trade prices per currency and levels, ranges and targets below.


Gold/ Silver Ratio 75.12. Range 30 day = 73.45 to 76.17. Range 1 year 80.23 to 64.43.
Gold/ Silver Ratio Trade


Long 74.44 to target 74.93. Long above 75.12 to target 75.51. Short 75.51 to target 75.32.


CHF Gold = 55196.45. Highest priced due to 274 point daily range.


NZD Gold = 2652.73


NZD Gold Trade
Long 2639.46 to target 2646.09. Long above 2652.73 to target 2667.00. Short 2667.00 to target 2660.36.


AUD Gold Trade


AUD 2541.19. Long 2528.48 to target 2534.83. Long above 2541.19 to target 2553.90. Short 2553.90 to target 2547.54.


CAD Gold Trade


CAD 2334.73. Long 2323.05 to target 2328.99. Long above 2334.73 to target 2346.41. Short 2346.41 to target 2340.57.


USD Gold Trade


USD 1866.57. Long 1857.23 to target 1861.90. Long above 1866.57 to target 1875.91. Short 1875.91 to target 1871.24.


EUR Gold Trade


EUR 1639.03. Long 1630.83 1634.93. Long above 1639.03 to target 1647.23. Short 1647.23 to target 1643.13.


GBP Gold


GBP 1388.96. Long 1382.01 to target 1385.48. Long above 1388.96 to target 1395.91. Short 1395.91 to target 1392.43.


USD Gold Vs EUR and CAD


USD Gold 1866 trades between 2 Gold brothers at EUR 1639.03 and above at CAD 2334 yet USD gold is 3rd from the bottom as compared to all Gold Currencies.


Each Gold price in respective currencies offers next supports and resistance levels.


A Gold or Silver price cannot outperform the respective currency price.


DXY Vs USD Gold


Gold supports and resistance points breaks down as 18.68, 14.01, 9.34, 4.67, 2.33.


For true experts, Gold is traded in relation to the respective currency price since the Gold price is located inside the currency price. This way, profits are earned by the exchange rate and Gold price.


USD Gold for example bottom by DXY is located 1771.

Brian Twomey

FX Weekly: Exchange Rates Predict Exchange Rates

As highlighted Friday, 19 of 28 currency pairs are USD pairs, moves with USD and driven strictly by USD while 9 currencies are Non USD. Of 28 currencies, 19 contain exchange rates as 1 point and 9 are distinguished by 0 point. This allows currency prices to factor its interrelationships as marriages yet also to divorce as currency prices separate and contract from each other.


How are present currency market prices running. Simple check by calculator. Tops and bottoms are most significant points. Today’s exchange rate associations may or may not comport to the same currency pairs in the future. Price and price only is the dictator.


Note for example below EUR/USD, NZD/USD and NZD/CHF equates to CAD/JPY. Normally, the relationship informs to NZD/USD and NZD/CHF tops and bottoms and perfect trades but instead factors to CAD/JPY. As NZD/USD gets moving again, CAD/JPY will be eliminated to again factor to NZD.


Overall, weekly trades are factored for interested.


EUR/USD minus NZD/CHF and EUR/USD minus NZD/USD = CAD/JPY range 89.67 to 92.41 or 274 pips.


USD/GBP or the opposite from GBP/USD = AUD/USD top. EUR/CAD divide 2 then AUD/USD bottom. Next top above USD/GBP then EUR/AUD divide 2. AUDUSD = 0.7100’s, 0.7400’s and 0.7700’s.


EUR/GBP = GBP/CAD divide 2. So EUR/GBP = 0.8507, and 10 and 15 year averages at 0.8426 and 0.8401.


NZD/JPY = EUR/NZD divide 2 = NZD/JPY top Vs CHF/GBP for NZD/JPY bottom. CHF/GBP is opposite pair to GBP/CHF.


NZD/JPY 81.18 to 80.98 .


EUR/NZD = USD/CAD divide 2 = EUR/NZD significant point. GBP/CHF divide 2 = EUR/NZD bottom.
EUR/NZD 1.6273 to 1.6174.


EUR/USD 1.1727 top = GBP/EUR or opposite as EUR/GBP.
EUR/NZD Vs GBP/NZD exchange rate spreads 2781 pips. EUR/NZD or GBP/NZD is either overbought or oversold by 181 pips.


CAD/CHF = USD/GBP. CAD/CHF currently trades below USD/GBP. 0.7456 to 0.7346.


CHF/NZD or opposite from NZD/CHF = EUR/AUD bottom
CHF/AUD or opposite from AUD/CHF = EUR/CAD top.


AUD/EUR = NZD/CHF bottom. 0.6410.
AUD/EUR trades below AUD/USD.


USD/NZD or opposite from NZD/USD = EUR/CAD bottom.
USD/AUD or opposite from AUD/USD = GBP/USD top.


CAD/CHF 0.7346 Vs AUD/USD 0.7329. Watch crossover.
NZD/USD divide by 2 = AUD/NZD top.


AUD/USD divide 2 then divide 2 = GBP/NZD top.


EUR/CHF Vs AUD/NZD. What’s the difference. CHF/EUR offers AUD/CAD top and NZD/EUR offers another AUD/CAD top.


Both CHF/EUR and NZD/AUD leads directly to GBP/NZD.


The week.


USD/JPY is overbought for the week and overbought long term while USD/CHF and USD/CAD also sits overbought. The trifecta is rarely in weekly agreement.


USD/JPY from last week still targets 113.30 from break below at 113.71. Shorts this week are located at 114.21 and 114.29.


GBP is the best category to trade as GBP/USD and cross pairs begin the week deeply oversold.
GBP weekly trades rank as GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, GBP/AUD, GBP/CHF, GBP/CAD, GBP/NZD. Only difference from last week is GBP/CHF was last and switches places with GBP/NZD.


GBP/AUD is the best trade vs EUR/AUD for the 2nd week running.
EUR/USD begins oversold with caution to longs at 1.1492.


USD/CAD last week was dictated by 1.2451 as CAD/JPY and CAD/CHF would follow. CAD/JPY assumes this week’s leadership position Vs USD/CAD and CAD/CHF as USD/CAD and CAD/CHF will follow.


NZD/USD and cross pairs remain last to weekly rankings for the 4th week running. NZD/JPY is the best from NZD cross pairs however GBP/JPY, CAD/JPY and EUR/JPY are preferred. GBP/JPY is the clear leader to JPY cross pairs.


EUR/USD Vs USD/CNY


Correlations ran last week at + 0.88 or 88%. Correlations run this week at + 0.92 or 92%. The positive correlation informs to distance as a positive correlation reveals EUR/USD and USD/CNY prices won’t travel far from each other. The relationship is negative due to EUR Vs USD as USD/CNY and EUR/USD will trade in the opposite direction to each other but not far.

EUR/USD ranged 175 pips last week to USD/CNY 308.


The Correlation must break down to factor ranges and to understand the relationship. USD/CNY Vs EUR/USD factors as 6.4093 to 6.4343. EUR/USD factors as 1.1719 to 1.1603. No changes since last week.

EUR/USD dropped from 1.1607 to 1.1400’s and USD/CNY rose to 6.4098 then dropped to 6.3700’s.


Shortest term, EUR/USD is 161 pips off its range while USD/CNY is off kilter by 296 pips. Both EUR/USD and USD/CNY are deeply oversold to begin the week.


The assumption is USD/EM and EUR/EM correlations run high and positive and explains why both run weekly to oversold, overbought and neutral over the past 2 months. The ranges are off kilter. Correlations must drop in order for USD/EM and EUR/EM to trade more correctly to ranges.

Brian Twomey

Democrats Pathway to Authoritarianism

Democrats lost political power and majorities in Congress and state legislatures in the early 1860’s when Lincoln proposed and Congress passed the 13th, 14th and 15th constitutional amendments to abolish slavery, grant 4 million blacks the right to vote, and citizenship.


Democrats with KKK assistance went on a rampage, particularly in the south and by the late 1880’s regained congressional and State legislative majorities from black office holders through KKK force, violence, intimidation, assaults and murder. Newspapers frequently covered KKK trials and described crimes and persons as savages. Then the KKK was known as the Klu Klux.


I argue in this brief essay, the Democrats propensity to seek and hold power absolutely hasn’t changed one iota since the 1860’s nor has the Democrats abandoned political groups to assist in the ascendancy to power. What changed since the 1940’s and the founding of Soviet documents is the methodology to takeover Czechoslovakia, Hungary, East Germany and Central American nations in the 1980’s: Nicaragua, Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador.


The Czechoslovakia takeover provided the Democrats with a solid comprehensive plan and a road map to not only turn a nation to absolute Communism/ Socialism but an inclusion of groups, a list of issues and methods to isolate and defeat the masses and political opposition. The goal is rule by total authoritarian power, seized by legal and constitutional means and followed by an unyielding and conservative communist revolutionary ideology.


Further argued is the Democrats follow exactly the techniques to the 1940’s. The Democrat Party and government represents the top and the one main group above a large umbrella of many associated factions on the bottom. Together in a top down / bottom up strategy and decade by decade gains, control of power is seized.

The state would be the “supreme regulator of the relations between all citizens of the state”.


While focus is on the Democratic Party as the most powerful and well known entity, the Communist Party USA, Greens and Labor Unions are ideologically aligned and supporters to Democrat Party issues by supplying community organized training and personnel for issue advocation and protests, voter registration drives , and everything related to votes, money and voters at election times. Community organized workers receive a paycheck and expenses paid to travel to states, a jobs program for revolutionaries.


If the Democrat party and associated groups are viewed as a large movement or club with an accepted political agenda by all then the concept to the techniques to authoritarian power may be understood in a different perspective than what is known and accepted today. Understand top down, bottom up and dialectics then follow news stories and the model fits perfectly.


Democrat Groups and Campaigns


Prime Democrat supporters since the 1935 Wagner Act are Unions as the American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organization, both merged to form the AFL CIO. Unionization then diverged to cover government employees, private industries such as the Nurses Association, Firefighters, Teachers, Educators, Electrical, Carpenters, Manufacturers, Communications, Medical, real estate, finance, insurance, securities and many more.


The Democrat party multiplied as federal, county, state and city organizations. As unions and party organizations split into separate entities, each bottom up group not only involved themselves in political activities but became democrat campaign contributors, organizers and workers. All bottom up groups.
The list fails to include cultural groups such as Gays, major and fortune 500 companies, independent donors, entities established for single and multiple issues and separate funds established for campaign contributions.


George Soros through Open Society and the Tides Foundation bankrolls an estimated 5,000 Democrat organizations. The Democrat governor’s association, Communist party, greens and unions all broadened from the base to form new groups then those groups formed new groups. The formulation of groups as a source of power and political influence never ends with Democrats.


The private sector and government employees essentially funds the Democrat Party, political activities and campaigns through union dues, donations and independent expenditures. As government grows, union dues increase with the hiring of new government workers. As America may prosper under a Trump or Reagan then union money again multiplies through additional workers from the private sector. Democrats then hold additional money to raise the threshold of political activities. Democrats never lose to the concept of finance for the Democrat Party.


Democrat Message


Interesting is the message, communicated in socialist terms, called the double meanings of Dialectics such as proletariat, workers’ classes, democrat will of the masses, decisions of the proletariat, the people. The object to employ double meaning words is never to alarm to authoritarian intentions and to communicate messages to fellow revolutionaries and groups.


Democrats and Democracy


Democrats refer to the word democracy but democracy in democratic party terms means government and spoken such as our democracy, American democracy, democracy used generally or this is not who we are, this is not our democracy.


Democrats believe big government represents democracy and a far different concept and application than the people and political opposition throughout American history since its founding. Democracy from old Greek means “people power”.


The problem with the concept of Democracy and its promotion by Democrats is the United States is a Republic rather than a democracy. As Aristotle stated in the Politics of Aristotle and America’s founders agreed, democracy is the worst form of government and assumes the poor may become rulers but also because democracy undermines the rule of law. .


Without the rule of law, demagogues become rulers and impose their own will without regards to the masses and laws. This is what is happening today on the road to authoritarianism using covert words, phrases and policies but never intended by Madison and the founders.


With 435 House of Representative members and 100 Senators, 2 from each state, each senator and representative must represent state and district to bring home needs and wants to the community. So busy to maintain this task as each section of the nation contains varied interests, senators and representative are to occupied to join the overarching principle to collusion to adopt an authoritarian agenda. Needs and wants of the community was traded for authoritarianism and a disintegration of the rule of law. And done in plain sight legally through ballots and votes.


Democratspeak Dialectics


Many examples pervade democrat speak as they only communicate in dialectics as in short, quick and incomplete sentences.


For the People Act fails to contain any benefits or reference to “the people. “. H.R. 7 The Paycheck Fairness Act, H.R. 6 The American Dream and Promise Act, H.R. 5 The Equality Act, H.R. 9 The Climate Action Now Act. H.R. 1500 Consumers First Act, H.R. 2513 The Corporate Transparency Act.


Dialectics as employed by legislation sounds good on paper to fool the masses and unsuspected to authenticate Democrat sympathies but in actuality the opposite effects are the intentions. Consumers will never be first, paychecks won’t ever be fair, nor equality nor transparency. The list of legislation in the form of dialectics is long to cover decades and a long list of brutal attacks against America.


Democrats mobilize legislative support from top down to bottom up with news media assistance by vicious attacks against Republicans as Republicans fail to support Consumers, people, transparency, equality, paychecks, fairness. Republicans support millionaires and billionaires to tax the rich issues.


Any policies and legislation not supported by Republicans incorporates Republicans in a mean spirited, non caring, against America box. Heard loud and often enough, the masses begin to accept naturally Republicans as the problem to fix America’s issues and weakens Republican support but also to garner weak republican assistance.. The imperative to authoritarianism is revolutionaries must work in cooperation in Congress to disrupt capitalism and promote authoritarianism.


Joe Biden’s campaign slogan Build Back Better warns after Democrats destroy America, Democrats will attempt to Build Back Better under authoritarianism. The term was derived from the World Economic Forum from remarks to highlight a Re Set to the world. Authoritarianism is required as dictators comply to the new harsh economic standards envisioned.


Tax the rich is as much a message to the United States but communicated to revolutionary Labor governments and groups worldwide. Then the question is the United States at the center of the communist revolutionary movement as governments adopt Democrat policies almost immediately upon Democrat election wins and associated groups comply. Once marching orders are communicated, groups and governments fall in line and set the agenda in motion.

Socialist economic policy is required to gain power for the executive branch and to steer power from the legislature/ Congress to ensure power and money constantly evolves upwards in the hands of the few and opposition parties fail to gain majorities to derail for a time the overall democrat authoritarian agenda.

Explains why Democrat legislation is never heard by traditional hearings in Congress. Once legislation is introduced, the bill then travels to the House and Senate floor for votes and quick passage.


Trump and Reagan were true threats to the agenda in the modern day while Nixon, Ford and the Bushes succumbed and were co-opted by the Democrat policy program. Trump and Reagan supported the masses and American capitalism by tax cuts, limited government, strong military defense. Both Trump and Reagan operated on complete opposite sides to Democrats authoritarian program.


The more powerful becomes the executive branch prevents an overthrow by opposition legislators, legislatures, Congress and the masses. The more power is gained by a president or executive branch, the more to solidify the agenda and shield the Democrat holding the office. The Democrat then speaks in dialectics to the masses while secretly undermining United States prosperity to secure agenda success.


The new execution by Presidential Executive Order allows a massive shift to authoritarianism as an estimated 9 million federal government workers and agencies are affected.

Agencies of the federal government are reflections of the private sector such as agriculture, education, military, transportation, labor, commerce, treasury, justice, interior. An executive order shift to authoritarianism naturally flows to and affects the private sector. Authoritarianism is adopted by osmosis in the private sector.


Most vital is the authoritarian agenda’s success. Players and Democrat names may change throughout the decades but never the agenda. As long as a D is before the name then the Roman army not only understands the matching orders but all are compliant to perform their duties in favor of the agenda.


Hypocrisy and dialectics is built into the public message due to the hidden agenda to private intentions, goals and policies associated to authoritarian takeover. Democrat words when rarely spoken are delivered quickly and in broad terms and generalities while the opposition Republicans speak in specifics and details. Democrat words and messages are never delivered in complete sentences. A sentence begins then stops abruptly.


Democrats propose a policy, speak in negative terms and the solution is always bigger government. Democrat messages appeal to emotions and heartstrings while Republicans counter by spoken words to facts, logic and reason. Appeal to emotions and heard in a constant mind control barrage weakens the inner person and soul to never think in terms of logic, facts and reason.


Bipartisanship is an impossible option as Democrats and Republicans communicate on different wavelengths and seek distinctly separate policy objectives. The rare occasion when democrats seek bipartianship is a Republican trap and the purpose is to hide Democrat final objectives. Democrats sought bipartianship on the debt limit to hide massive government spending intentions yet required was bipartianship to never tag Democrats as big spenders.


Focus Groups and Democrat Messages


Democrats regularly spend fortunes on focus groups to deliver acceptable words amenable to convince the public to true policy intentions while hiding revolutionary private objectives. In this respect, Democrats are able to test future policy as is the Democrats decades long common practice. Slogans are popular among past communist practices such as tax the rich to gain public acceptance. Today’s new word is equity and fair share.


Masks, vaccines and lockdowns now holds a test for future road maps to authoritarian government control of the masses. The question is how far can the Democrats take a test policy without mass and political opposition. The Democrat habit is stretch policy, the Constitution and bill of rights to the outer limits then a snap back occurs before the policy, constitution and bill of rights is completely broken and sent to its death. Essentially, the constitutionality to rubber band effects.


Abortion rights, reproductive rights, family planning are words amenable to abortion. Democrats represented themselves as Communists then socialists, liberal and now, progressives. Representation to Democrat association softened over the decades to hide identities and authoritarianism programs and intentions.


Democrats overall softened the >


Immigration words for example, went from chain migration, illegals, undocumented, immigrants to current softer tone and positive migrants. Illegals aren’t crossing the border only migrants and migrants eliminates the concept and association to illegality, illegals and crossing borders.


Migrant is a more accepted word to an unsuspected public as accepted policy to hide revolutionary intentions. Meanwhile immigrant and migrant are derivative words to alien or illegal alien.


Afghanistan citizens are classified as soft toned refugees and contains the same meaning and purpose as migrant to policy as refugees and migrants not only qualify for a large assortment of government benefits but both refugees and migrants are allowed to immigrate families then those families migrate their families.

This never ending chained migration is a direct Democrat assault and confrontation to American citizens to dilute American populations and one of many avenues to assume authoritarian power over the masses.


The purpose to accept migrants and Afghan citizens is not only to dilute and attack the white majority but to house new arrivals in Republican Congressional districts to diminish Republican votes and to transfer migrants to Democrat Congressional districts to ensure Democrat majorities from now to eternity. An estimated 2 million illegals is enough to form 4 congressional districts at current 500,000 per congressional district.


Obama began the word folks to replace the legality of citizen as a means to weaken the legal concept of citizen connected to nation. Folks as friends and an acceptable word of friendship have rights and benefits no matter who they are and where they come from. Refugees and migrants are as much folks as American citizens to topped down government and forced obedience.


Democrat Public Messages


The added feature in the modern day to revolutionary intentions and authoritarian government is television and broadcast ability. The Democrats learned the skill to deliver the perfect message using dialects with co opted allies and groups in the media. The skill is located in the purposed distraction and misdirect to issues so never to understand or answer to true policy intentions, goals, beneficiaries, funding, target and costs in monetary terms.


For the People Act for example is characterized in the media as a prevention to stop Republican suppression of votes while passage of this bill allows Democrats to become the majority party from now to eternity.


Social media companies and the popular news media ensures only the Democrat party agenda is communicated in glowing, accepted and forced obedient terms. No different from the Soviet Union messages to the public.


Forced bottom up agenda acceptance begins by showing favorable polls, then emotional human interest stories, glowing terms and benefits to policy followed by the push to authoritarian policy acceptance. The process begins slowly so not to alarm the public then comes the massive forward motion to acceptance and passage.


Children, Masks, and vaccines began slowly then today, every other story on every media outlet informs to Child death from covid and other related covid and vaccines issues. All to support the Democrat agenda particularly from the Teachers and Education unions.


When policy goes wrong for Democrats then its blame Republicans as far right. News stories of sensation then appear against the intended person or target, particularly at election times. Negativity and sensation sells to the public and believed when viewed as main headlines.


Disagree with an agenda meets with derision from a multitude of groups and media companies to ostracize, isolate and destroy the character, integrity and career of the person in disagreement. Bottom up at work to drive fear to those to speak or act against Democrat policy and as usual the Democrat Party escapes connection and scrutiny. This allows the Democrats to operate unscathed nor ever to answer.


Hollywood as an essential bottom up group to Democrat messages continues its source of great power since the 1940’s when the Soviet Union took over the various Guilds governing movie making to promote the Soviet Union and Communism.


Nothing changed in the modern day as television shows and movies proliferated, so did Democrat messages, policy and social justice. The difference today is Hollywood actors and actresses and Democrat messages operates in the open and in plain sight as advocates.


Gay and gay rights is heavily seen and promoted, women are portrayed as strong men, impossible for a black person not to act as the police chief, the white majority, men and boys are assaulted,


The health of a nation is represented by culture to innovate, experiment to new products, to find new and better ways. Cultural health is represented by movies, tv shows, comedy, dance, art, paintings, design and all suitable for families. The poison of social justice was introduced to obliterate the culture. The culture and masses currently stand shell shocked from social justice abuses.


House Members Vs Senators


Democrat house members speak in strongly worded statements, more forceful, more hard hitting and to the point. Senators speak softly, easily, slowly as if the smartest person in the room speaks or an old wise grandfather. Yet the authoritarian message is the exact same but delivered in two separate sentences and tones.
The positive to Democrat speak is they always communicate in advance, through the media, targets and next candidates slated for assault. Targets are those revenue sources not already owned or contributed under the Democrat Party umbrella.


Michelle Obama informed authoritarianism and today’s circumstances were in development, “Barack knows that we are going to have to make sacrifices; we are going to have to change our conversation; we’re going to have to change our traditions, our history; we’re going to have to move into a different place as a nation.”


Constitution: Positive Vs Negative Liberties


Barrack Obama forewarned when he stated the Constitution highlights negative liberties to inform what is not allowed under the United States political system but fails to mention positive liberties as in specifically, what is allowed and how far can the political system travel until it stops. Obama provided the early warning to a stronger than normal push to authoritarianism and supplanted Fabian Socialist advocacy to move Socialism slowly by small decade by decade gains.


The Democrat Model


Note today’s Democratic party issues: Immigration, Tax the rich, Race, inequality, fair share, BLM, Defund Police, Covid, vaccines, masks, China dealings. Climate Change, minimum wage increase, Green new deal, government spending, social justice, environmental activism and gay issues.


The main pillars of political philosophy are justice, fairness, equality, freedom and above Wedge issues are all introduced, associated, and argued in socialist revolutionary terms to justice, fairness and equality but never freedom or liberty.


Wedge issues are 50 /50 propositions and accepted by only 50% of the revolutionary public and 50% rejected by political opposition. Democrat wedge issues are introduced purposely to split the public in a power play to acquire power, to communicate messages to associated revolutionary cultural and political groups to form and to divide and defeat the masses, political opposition and capitalism.


Capitalism is naturally defeated by destruction of the masses and political opposition so never to attack capitalism directly and to Democrat association to capitalism’s defeat. Authoritarianism is obviously incompatible to capitalism and both cannot co exist.


Democrat Groups


Political and cultural groups are well funded, well organized and equipped with long term issue action plans to form arguments, to strengthen and receive acceptance to issues, isolate opposition and garner support from opposite political party weak politicians. A small group of Republicans always exist to assist the authoritarian agenda.


National culture is represented by tradition, values, songs, symbols, morals, norms and histories. Destroy culture and embody hatred of country then allows unsuspected citizens to turn against country and willing to accept another manner of rule. Authoritarianism functions perfectly under such destroy culture and country scenarios as patriotism, flags and statutes as symbols of nations must break down then eliminated from existence.


Political groups are required in the political process to prevent and punish threats to coups by offering the appearance of issue acceptance under a non legitimate revolutionary rule. Group support hides non legitimate rule as if legitimacy exists.


Once groups secure funds, they join the political process by employing and recruiting like minded revolutionaries, vote, voter registration drives and issue advocation. Groups eventually graduate to lobbyists to lobby issues to Democrats, fellow revolutionaries and favorable governments worldwide.
The more bottom up groups form then the more powerful becomes the top down Democrats and to limit power to opposing parties and associated political groups. Gun control and abortion are good examples.

Once revolutionaries gain the upper hand and popularity to issues, then the more the issue becomes weak to almost mute points to the opposition and public.


Democrat Model in Action


The forces then align as Democrat government on the top and groups on the bottom. In the middle and directly in the line of fire slated for defeat and disaster are the masses, capitalism, opposition parties and opposition groups.


The strategy is top down and bottom up to crush the masses and political opposition in the center. As the Democrats win an issue or pass favorable legislation then severely weakens the masses and opposition and authoritarianism wins as reversing legislation by Republicans is nearly impossible without congressional majorities and acceptable Trump or Reagan as president.


Democrat legislation is 1000’s of pages long to reflect an authoritarian agenda known since the 1940’s. The agenda was written long ago and the only aspect missing is votes in Congress and Presidential signature to solidify by law authoritarian government.


Once Government and Groups garner more strength, power, money and increased size then the top down Democrat party introduces the next slate of wedge issues to form new groups. The ultimate goal is grow government and groups to monstrous standards for absolute authoritarian government control but also for all aspects of the private sector placed under Federal government control.


Government control under authoritarianism is a greedy system as both power and money flow upwards to the top and hinders the poor and middle classes as they receive nothing except more poverty. Money is generated from the masses, business and industry. Money and power flow directly to government.


Political and cultural groups appear and argue favorably to Democratic Party issues yet the Democrats never concede association to groups much the same as the Democrats never admitted association to the KKK in the 1860’s. Democrats privately seek assistance to fund groups but never to admit to a political or ideological association.


. On a tax the rich issue or tax the public, money disappears from the legitimate capitalist society to strengthen the authoritarian government. Power eventually becomes absolute at the top as capitalism diminishes.


The message always delivered in negative terms to the nation’s capitalist base is the rich are greedy, don’t care, serve themselves. Not only a justice, fairness and equality argument but a methodology to rip a nation apart by psychological warfare to confront middle classes and appeal directly to the bottom up poorer classes.


Middle and poorer classes are now in contention to each other as bottom up poor expect a benefit from tax the rich money meanwhile, the poor always lose to benefits.


Democrat policies contain long term objectives as the agenda was known for decades. Student loans were once 100% funded and college students graduated. Obama changed the formula to 75% funded and 25% pay by students. Students failed to graduate, college costs rose and enrollments dropped.
The next Democrat policy response became free college and introduced under Biden’s Infrastructure bill. New groups formed to argue and impose free college then colleges accepted and the masses are happy not to pay for exorbitant costs to children’s education.


Democrats gained and not only solidified colleges as a constituency but new groups formed and government grows. Colleges are now solidly in the implementation to practice the poison of social justice policies on college campuses to limit academic freedom and the free flow of ideas and theories. The losers are the political opposition and the masses as the masses answer to government rather than colleges to student issues.

Vaccines vs no vaccines, women and black race ascendency, Critical Race Theory are immediate cultural issues offered from the presidential high command to not only attack the public but to purposefully divide the masses into 50/50 arguments to cause chaos.


Democrats love chaos as much as Russians. Chaos forces a nation to lose control and this allowed the Russians to takeover in the name of re control, as savior to a nation. Authoritarian control is then imposed and the nation is defeated and forever absorbed into the Communist orbit.


Culture


Cultural issues are divide and conquer strategies as the masses fight amidst society’s chaos with 50% supporters and 50% against. Not only is political opposition identified and marked for defeat while strengthening Democrat favorable group size and fund raising abilities, new groups form to increase the size of the appearance of policy majorities.


While society and the media argues and fights the nuances of such topics as race issues, no attention is known to the top down Democrats to impose race issues to force a fight, disruption and chaos.
Main cultural issues are God, family and limited government and the 3 pillars must be destroyed and /or reduced to gain authoritarian power.

The methodology to attack family is completed by introduction to women ascendency to weaken men, race issues and Critical Race Theory to confront directly white people as the majority. The Democrat goal is alienate and weaken the white majority in power and draw acceptance from the revolutionary public.


Republicans are weakened by association as white supremacists, white majority and to association to white supremacist groups.


Critical Race theory introduced and taught in public schools contains ability to teach and manufacture future revolutionaries for service in authoritarian governments and groups but also to force acceptance to never threaten authoritarian rule.


The concept to authoritarianism leaves the political arena and enters the psychological as only Marxism is taught and ingrained in the mind. Not new to communist nations as Youth Federations were created for the purpose of authoritarian acceptance but quite new to the capitalist United States.


Abortion directly assaults god and churches. Limited government is defeated by not only increased government size and spending but institutions and agencies of government grow to centralize power and power in the hands of revolutionaries in the bureaucracy.


The true work of government is conducted by the unseen and unknown agencies through regulatory rules of agency governance as revolutionaries rubber stamp and add to promulgate the authoritarian agenda.


The rise of the administrative state protects the top down government and bottom up group program by slow roll to the public important data, analysis, classifications, investigations, research, funding. FOIA requests are equally slow rolled. The deep state forms a protective shield so nobody knows what government is doing except possibly the few with an interest to an issue.


No shortage of personnel exists to government and the deep state as revolutionaries are picked and groomed from bottom up groups and colleges.


The losers to authoritarian power and administrative state centralization is states and states rights. Only favorable Democrat states receive acceptable funding while Republican states receive nothing unless they adopt Democrat policies. The bureaucrats in the administrative state by strengthen to agency rules forces Republican acceptance for funding purposes.


Congress as appropriators to laws and policies must hold Democrat majorities and rubber stamp revolutionaries to agencies, boards, commissions, judges. The more government is staffed with revolutionaries, the better for the authoritarian agenda to constantly move forward through coordination.


Democrats are well prepared for psychological warfare as they pick the fight and always throw the first punches as they prepare for 12 round matches.


Not only a public relations stunt to offer cultural issues a farce and attack but public chaos offers Democrats the ability to keep the public occupied while the news media assists. Democrats don’t care.
Counter Revolutionaries


The dual purpose to top down government is ability to obliterate threats and stated in communist speak as counter revolutionaries. Obama and the IRS annihilated the Tea Party and associated groups from existence to weaken Republican political opposition while the inheritance tax ensures the masses remain in a stasis position. Property, possessions and money naturally flows to government.


Democrats used the FBI as a source to ensure Russia gate carries forward for years against Trump and James O’Keefe’s house and employee dwellings were raided by the FBI to find a diary misplaced by Joe Biden’s daughter.


Democrats traditionally defund the military to strike counter revolutionary intentions. Extra monies are deployed to buy votes from the bottom up poor by funding additional social welfare programs and to strengthen bottom up groups. In this dual purpose action, bottom up groups and the poor are eliminated as threats to authoritarian government as the poor remain in permanent poverty status.


Republican Groups


Gun groups and the NRA as a long term supporter of Republicans witnessed Gun laws and rules strengthen over decades by Democrats. Eliminate guns as a means to attack authoritarian rulers began as gun elimination, 7 day waiting period to ownership then to high taxes for bullets and now gun confiscation.


The attack intensified as news media and Democrat opposition groups then report NRA contributions to the Republican Party, constant gun shootings and murders, innocent children lives lost to guns, public acceptance to gun control by polls in a then and now situation. Last month or last year for example, 30% of the public favored gun control as opposed to ? 50% today.


The Government agency, Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms now owns records to 54 million gun owners.

Added to IRS surveillance to bank accounts, social media posts and yearly tax forms, a data base is easily created for each individual and retrieved in seconds to find and punish counterrevolutionaries. Subscribe to the Democrat authoritarian agenda then no surveillance is necessary.


Democrats destruction of political opposition groups is performed by wedge issues so only 50% of the group accepts and 50% oppose, to use government administrative capability to strengthen rules and regulations, and to bombard the public with emotional gun stories to force full gun control acceptance.
The NRA is forced to operate under a weakened group, disband or allow Democrats to become the new owners and set the rules. A new revenue source is gained.


Tax Corporations


Democrat wedge issues target businesses, industries and Republican groups for destruction and upon demolition then ownership as a permanent constituent and revenue source under government control is the next best option. Essentially, nationalization of industry to assist the agenda’s coordination, acceptance and solidification. The message is communicated and driven from the top and conveyed to groups to perform necessary duties.


Tax corporations drives the stake through the heart of Republican funding and America’s capitalist base with the goal to attract corporations to the Democrat ownership side, to increase unionization, to split and diminish Republican’s funding base and to secure a Democrat voting bloc amenable to tax corporations by theft of Republican voters.


More than to reduce America and worldwide competitive advantage, the grand prize to tax corporations and authoritarian government is nationalization of corporations particularly banks as banks are the finance source to not only capitalism but to the masses and political opposition.


Owning banks is the next step and back door approach to fully control the Federal Reserve, an agency Democrats continue to bash mercilessly to enter the front door. The more communist appointments to the Fed board allows further inroads to decide policy and spending decisions.


Tax corporations raise prices, raises inflation, reduces wages, employment, GDP and capitalism. If ever a win existed for authoritarianism, tax corporations is the answer.


The Tax Foundations highlights corporate taxes released as part of Biden’s fiscal year 2022 budget would collect about $2 trillion in new tax revenue from businesses over 10 years. This new revenue would bring income tax collections on businesses as a portion of GDP to its highest level on a sustained basis in over 40 years.


Small Business Tax


Small businesses are the unknowns to Democrats and political alliances so therefore fall under the category of Counter Revolutionaries. Yet all businesses contain a viable revenue source as stipulated by the Tax Foundation but the unknown to potential threats is far greater.


Small businesses lack unionization and the last exploit Democrats want is a small business to grow into an Amazon or Google to become Republican supporters. Small businesses must be obliterated as a precaution.


Income tax collections from businesses also include revenue from corporate income taxes levied on C corporations and the portion of individual income tax paid by owners of pass-through businesses like partnerships, sole proprietorships, and S corporations.


Democrats not only promote psychological warfare by confrontation but pick sides and team members as well as set rules of the political game.
Worldwide Minimum Tax
To prevent the worldwide race to the bottom on corporate taxes, an agreement was reached by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Developmernt to charge a 15% worldwide minimum tax. As the Tax Foundation highlights, American companies would pay a higher tax particularly in low tax nation states. Between higher corporate and worldwide taxes then companies risk leaving the United States to seek a tax reprieve in low tax nation states.


Agriculture


The mid west and farms are the heartland to loyal Republican states and voters since Lincoln. Pay strict attention to wedge issues by social justice delivered to farms and Agriculture to split Republican states and voters.


Democrat Voters


A Democrat is a deeply conservative person, rigid in routines and schedules and assured to know and understand outcomes. A Democrat doesn’t operate well nor are happy with contingent or uncharted schedules.


Fear of the unknown drives Democrats to rigidity as they are cautious and suspicious of all things, events, people and circumstances. Suspicions forces Democrats to fully control events, people and all circumstances. Its their intransigent ways or nothing as they can’t operate well in a gray area.


Adamant to stringent ways, Democrats operate well on Groupthink when the group agrees. An outside or strayed member from the group is again treated with suspicion and little regard. The group as a whole is the dominant force as all agree to goals, intentions and outcomes.


China Dealings, Green New Deal and Foreign Policy


After Bill Clinton returned Chinese campaign money to Chinese donors, Obama solidified China’s position in the Democratic Party by sale of Smith Foods to the Chinese. American Pharmaceuticals are now manufactured in China.


The push for the Green New Deal further solidifies China’s position as the largest manufacturer of Solar Panels, Windmills and Wind Turbines. China’s dominance of rare Earth minerals allows American purchases to build car batteries for electric vehicles. God only knows what else China owns and contributes to dominate United States manufacturing. For Authoritarians, its an easy sale and clear choice.


Republican Answer

  1. Republicans only answer to stop Democrats is the Trump and Reagan way by trim Government severely and introduce capitalism, patriotism and love of country again.
  2. Republicans must answer Biden or a Democrat President by not attacking the top government leader but the Democrat Party must be tied to the bottom groups to reveal funding sources, people and political methodologies. Done by Wedge issues to strike Democrats directly to the center of operations by exposing techniques, processes, procedures, goals, intentions and outcomes.
  3. Over Rule the Democrat media by alerting the public in a constant daily barrage. The masses are on the side of Republican Philosophy and good goals for America. Republicans will become the majority again for many years.
  4. Stop the Democrats free ride to Authoritarianism for 100 years since Wilson. Democrats in Congress are dangerous enemies and never friends of America. Stop the Democrat partnerships by isolating Democrats and groups from the political system.

  5. Democrats in Conclusion

  6. The poison of Authoritarianism is upon us, built into the United States political system since Wilson and circumnavigated in lightening speed by Obama. Success is close as Communists never, ever reveal themselves for fear to knock the movement back many years.

  7. Democrats not only don’t care but are operating in the wide open for all to see. This alone speaks to America’s warning for under Authoritarianism, its to late for America as recovery takes many decades, if ever a chance will exists.
    1. Brian Twomey

Long Term Targets, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, NZD/USD

USD/JPY achieved weekly target at 114.28 perfectly as written Sunday. Shorts yesterday from 114.15 traded to 114.80 lows for a quick 35 pips. USD/JPY is now overbought and weekly downside target remains 113.30 on a break of 113.71.


GBP/JPY achieved new lows yesterday at 152.36. On a target at 151.78 from 158.00’s, GBP/JPY traded within 57 pips to target. The overall target will not only reach its destination but a 3 week trade for an easy 700 ish pips.

For 700 pips to target without regards to economics or releases, central bank meetings, interest rate changes, taper, Powell, charts fibs, stops, 4 hour charts. A forward currency price doesn’t see or care to 90% to the written word in regards to possible factors for the price.


Long term target trades were not available for the majority of 2021. Only CHF/JPY for 500 ish pips yet the actual target never traded but close at high 116.00’s from 121.00’s. Long term defined as easy trades for 500 and 700 ish + pips and only requirement is click, set target and walk away to live life. Many long term target trades were shown and written on these pages over prior years.


Long term trades are now becoming available. Historically, long term trades seem to become available every 2 years or so. For 2018 and part of 2019 were terrific to long term trades. Then 2020 and now into 2021 was a drought but now end 2021, trades are opening.


The question to 2 years is a factor of our 28 currency pairs and USD Vs Non USD currencies. Currently by correlations and by the concept as the 2md side of the currency pair as the price driver, 19 of 28 currencies are USD pairs, moves with USD and driven strictly by USD.


This leaves 9 currencies as non USD such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD. These pairs are anchor pairs to the overall universe of cross pairs. Why only 9 pairs is because anchor pairs are not aligned to respective cross pair universes.


JPY cross pairs align to USD/JPY by correlations, USD/CHF aligns to AUD/CHF and other associated CHF cross pairs, EUR/CAD aligns to USD/CAD and other associated CAD cross pairs.


The standard and permanent USD currencies without regard to USD Vs Non USD are GBP/NZD, EUR/NZD, EUR/GBP, CHF/JPY, EUR/AUD and GBP/AUD. All are married at the hip to USD.


No long term trades informs USD currencies and NON USD are married and closely aligned to distances. No trades available. When USD and NON USD breakout as is seen today by breaks at long term averages then long term trades open wide for many currencies. Throw a dart at a currency and trade to long term targets is basically the scenario. Many pips are earned effortlessly and it is the time to truly bank easy pips.


NZD/USD


Next pair to fall and /or monitor closely to 5 year averages is NZD/USD at 0.6847. NZD overall has been a dead issue for the past month and must get moving again as it traded from 0.6800’s to next vital break at 0.7200’s.


As bottom most currency by exchange rate numbers, NZD/USD break at 0.6800’s will set off a chain reaction to Non USD shorts to include EM currencies. The message is shorts are clear and safe trades.


NZD/USD 5 vital numbers for today are located at 0.6981, 0.6992, 0.7001, 0.7034 and 0.7052.


AUD/USD


AUD/USD 5 year remains at 0.7310 and a target at 0.6902 so far.


EUR/USD Upside Vs Downside.


Took 6 months for EUR/USD to travel from 1.1400’s to 1.2300’s and 9 months to trade to 1.1400s. We have 6 up Vs 9 down and broken down to the lowest common denominator by day trades, upside Vs downside prices are vastly different and never the same. Its built into the price system permanently to uneven numbered price paths.


Take NZDUSD for example. The first 2 numbers in NZD/USD’s price path is 0.7020 and 0.7025 and ends in 5 and a permanent day trade condition. No other number is uniform to end in 5. GBP/JPY upside target today is located at 153.50 but no downside price ends in 0.


Most vital to 5 year averages is GBP/USD at 1.3095 and USD/CAD at 1.3048.

Brian Twomey

EUR/USD 5 Year, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY

EUR/USD not only traded to day trade lows yesterday at 1.1519 but at the 2:00 pm hour and at the close of the bond market, EUR/USD broke 1.1490. Lows at 1.1464 traded 7 pips above next point at 1.1457 as reported yesterday.


EUR/USD now completes a full 6 month circle from the July 2020 break higher at 1.1400’s to 1.2300’s in January 2021. Took 9 months on this trip for EUR/USD to trade from 1.2300’s to break 1.1490. As written and shown many times over many years on these pages, all EUR/USD trends reverse as a neutral currency pair but also as a leader currency.


The first signs to reversal from 1.2300’s was vital averages were falling instead of rising to inform long term strategy was short only. Today’s vital averages are falling and vital averages as follows 1.1601, 1.1613. 1.1654 and 1.1681. Weeks ago was reported 1.1665 and 1.1620 and today 1.1654 and 1.1613.


Short strategies continue unless averages begin to rise again. Today’s EUR/USD day trade lows are located at 1.1423, 1.1441, 1.1456. Compared to yesterday, 1.1457, 1.1429, 1.1379, 1.1258 and 1.1197.


Not much difference from longer term vital points to day trades. Why day trades are used for extra pips during the week and to rely on much easier weekly trades as main profits. And because day trades require screen watching to trade vital points as opposed to no screen watching for weekly trades. Set and go and live life for weekly trades.


AUD/USD


AUD/USD is the next to threaten a break at the 5 year average at 0.7310. Lower on a break to consult long term AUD/USD as written, targets 0.7285, 0.7237, 0.7180 and 0.7166.
AUD/USD day trade 5 vital numbers are located today at 0.7277, 0.7296, 0.7302, 0.7332 and 0.7351.
AUD/JPY 5 year is located at 80.00’s and from current 83.00’s, contains a long way to drop. AUD/JPY as reported yesterday, dropped +100 ish pips in 3 weeks to gain zero traction.


GBP/USD


Current price path is located at 1.3094, 1.3115, 1.3117, 1.3120, 1.3136, 1.3273. For higher, GBP/USD must break above 1.3405 and 1.3479.


Day trade highs are located at 1.3458 and 1.3492.


USD/JPY Weekly Trade Results


As written Sunday, USD/JPY targets to 114.27 and 114.36 then targets shorts at 113.40.
USD/JPY achieved highs so far at 114.15 from 112.72 lows or + 143 pips. Day trade highs are located at 114.22 and 114.51. Grab shorts if USD/JPY rises.


Entries? How much profits do traders wish to earn as entries don’t matter a hill of beans.


And completed by pen, paper and calculator. All will receive just what is paid for using Technical analysis.

Brian Twomey

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and Technical Analysis

To target 1.1700’s, EUR/USD must cross massive hurdles at 1.1601, 1.1613. 1.1654 and 1.1681. Bottoms are located at 1.1533, 1.1519 and big break at the 5 year average 1.1490. Immediate targets on a break of 1.1490 are found at 1.1457, 1.1429, 1.1379, 1.1258 and 1.1197.


Break below 1.1490 on the way to 1.0800’s. Overall EUR/USD ranges from 1.1490 to 1.1601, and 1.1613 and no significant changes over the past 3 and 4 weeks.


Day trades for today and 5 numbers: 1.1519, 1.1543, 1.1554, 1.1607 and 1.1638. Watch 1.1607.
USD/JPY immediate targets on a break of 112.21 are located at 111.12 then 110.91 and 110.06.


Day trades for today and 5 numbers 112.31, 112.54, 112.72, 113.16 and 113.47.


Correlations run correctly at -96% for EUR/USD V USD/JPY.


JPY Cross Pair Results


As posted Oct 15,


GBP/JPY target 151.78 achieved lows so far at 152.69 from 158.00 highs and the trade runs +600 pips in less than 1 month. Only trade requirement was click and go live life.


EUR/JPY targets 129.24 from 132.00 highs. Lows achieved so far 130.63. The trade runs + 132. pips. Only trade requirement was click and go live life.


NZD/JPY targets 76.57. As reported, NZD/JPY was least favored among JPY cross pairs. Lows achieved 80.11 so far from 81.00 highs. Correct as least favored. yet the trade runs + 100 ish pips.


CAD/JPY targets 88.36. CAD/JPY achieved lows so far at 90.41 from 92.00 highs. The trade runs +200 ish pips.


AUD/JPY targets 81.33 from 84.00 highs. Lows achieved so far 82.99 and the trade runs +100 pips.


USD/JPY and JPY cross pairs still contain a long way to drop.


Technical Analysis


Note. No stops, charts, Fibs and the fallacy of the 4 hour chart. Professional traders and those with a strategy don’t use technical analysis and its why they are able to profit consistently.


Technical analysis is where trading begins but eventually a trader must advance to a strategy & constantly build on the strategy for trade improvement and ease of trades. The goal is most profits in the easiest of ways.


Takes many years but the concept to improved strategies never ends in the search to find easier ways to trades and profits. Technical analysis is good as a beginner trader because found will be all the many ways technical analysis doesn’t work and results in losses.


Traders will then reach the point when its time to improve on a strategy or losses will mount and markets will bounce all from existence.


Only then consideration to good or professional trader status is earned by understanding and this leads to consistent. profits. As stated many times, understanding is 1/2 the battle to winning but understanding to the price is required otherwise trading roads remain rocky and full of holes.

Brian Twomey

How to Trade FX at Sunday Night Open

When markets open Sunday evening, the price lacks an input for forward motion. Lack of forward price information places the traded price to past views from Friday by no other choice. Sunday night opens is the only time during a trading week, the price trades Friday or backwards prices.

The time factor remains on a normal past schedule as the 1 hour fall back period didn’t start officially until the China open.

GBP/USD

From Friday, GBP/USD was dealing with 2 prices: at the Sunday open: 1.3490 and 1.3493. We’ll term 1 price a forward price and the second a backward price. GBP/USD traded on the first hour from 1.3492 to 1.3475. At 1.3492 is known but where is 1.3475 at the bottom support.

Bottom supports from Friday morning were located at 1.3451 and 1.3464. However Friday morning prices no longer count as interest rates changed Friday afternoon which means we may or may not have significant differences to prices.

From 1.3490, we have supports at 1.3449 and 1.3461 From 1.3493, supports are located at 1.3452 and 1.3464. Not a significant difference this trip yet important to know exactly where all prices are located for longs and shorts as not many pips trade anymore and to trade perfectly for maximum pips.

Price information for Sunday open we know supports are located at 1.3461 and 1.3464 and we know GBP/USD is oversold and long is the way.

Where is 1.3475. From 1.3461 to 1.3491 is 30 pips or 1/2 at 15. From 1.3490 offers 1.3475 and from 1.3493 allows 1.3478. The past price at 1.3490 was the correct price to factor. But we also knew 1.3475 was close to 1.3464 and 1.3461.

The last factor is the number 14. From 1.3490, allows 1.3476 and 1.3493 offers 1.3479. So far, we have 1.3475, 1.3476 and 1.3479 as supports and long.

To factor the range from 1.3475 to 1.3492 offers 8 pips. This places supports at 1.3483 from 1.3490, and 1.3485 from 1.3493. From 1.3461 offers 1.3469 and from 1.3464 offers 1.3472. The above is wrong to entry and must be wrong to target.

A long from 1.3475 traded to 1.3491 for 16 pips. We have 1.3490 and 1.3493 as vital resistance points but the Sunday open already informed to resistance points. We required bottoms. If the price broke above 1.3490 and 1.3493, then focus becomes upside trade targets. Upside targets are already known from Friday’s new adjustment to interest rates.

The overall trade duration for Sunday is 3 1/2 hours due to the fall back 1 hour time change. Normally for 6 months of every year, day trades run from 9:30 pm and 2:30 am EST and today for the next 6 months, 8:30 pm and 1:30 am. We had 3 1.2 hours on th Sunday open as opposed to 4 1/2 hours from 5:00 pm to 9:30 pm.

Once markets officially open, the above information becomes completely worthless to trades, entries, targets, supports and resistance points. Required is a new factor for supports and resistance and bottoms and tops to know entries and targets. A new factor is known from price information and when nations release interest rates.

While GBP/USD was highlighted as today’s example, every currency pair on the planet works for Sunday night open trades as the back price, support and resistance from Friday must be known for perfect trading.

Brian Twomey

FX Weekly: EUR and Cycles, GBP, JPY Targets

Tough week ahead for currency markets as trade selection is most vital. From 13 currency pairs traded weekly over many years, here’s the best, EUR/USD, AUD/USD, CAD/JPY, USD/CAD, EUR/NZD. For EUR/NZD trades due to oversold.


USD/CAD is in contention to oversold CAD/CHF and fairly neutral CAD/JPY while EUR/USD and AUD/USD trades are clear. USD/CAD’s fate is decided by 1.2451 and this level will lead CAD/CHF and CAD/JPY movements.


USD/CHF begins the week deeply oversold as well as counterparts GBP/CHF, AUD/CHF, NZD/CHF and CAD/CHF. The problem with CHF cross pairs is all are off kilter to the respective universe. AUD/CHF is off kilter to AUD/USD, NZD/CHF to NZD/USD and CAD/CHF to USD/CAD. Oversold GBP/CHF remains in sync to GBP/USD only because GBP/USD is oversold.


The next problem with USD/CHF and CHF cross pairs is all lack range. CAD/CHF, AUD/CHF and GBP/CHF are the best trades to profit a few pips but don’t look for any exciting movements as ranges won’t allow good moves.


Tough week leads to the month long problem to EUR/USD Vs USD/CAD at 5 year averages and GBP/USD Vs EUR/GBP. USD/CAD gained upward moves away from 1.2217 while EUR/USD 1.1490 and rising decides EUR/USD.


EUR/GBP sits just above 10 and 15 year averages now at rising 0.8424 and 0.8401 while GBP/USD pretty much is allowed to float from 1.3412 to 1.3800’s. EUR/GBP begins the week slight overbought while GBP/USD and all GBP pairs sits deeply oversold to include GBP/EM.


GBP/EM


Take your pick, throw a dart and long deeply oversold, GBP/CNY, GBP/CZK, GBP/DKK, GBP/MYR, GBP/PLN, GBP/RON, GBP/SEK, GBP/SGD. GBP/TRY sits overbought while GBP/ZAR begins the week fairly neutral.


EUR/USD and 2500 Pip Cycles


Long term views to currency prices is factored as 2500 pips and certain pairs less but not much off 2500. For EUR/USD 2500 is to much unless a bombshell year occurs. Generally 1500 to 1800 pips is a good EUR/USD measure.


When EUR/USD bottomed at 1.0600’s in year 2020, EUR/USD traveled 1700 pips to 1.2300. For 2021, EUR/USD dropped 800 pips from 1.2300’s to 1500’s or 1/2 of 1700.


The EUR/USD target on a break of 1.1490 at the 5 year average is 1.0800 or 1500 pips from 1.2300. EUR/USD at present 800 pips is at the halfway point. Higher at 400 pips takes EUR/USD to the 10 year average and massive resistance at 1.1900’s and 1.2027 when the downtrend begins again.


November /December begins EUR/USD seasonal downtrends to last until May and June then the uptrends begin to November / December. EUR/USD trades higher then we continue the short only program or breaks at 1.1490 and trades to 1.0800’s. Then we’re long to around 1.1300’s and a break takes us to 1.2500’s or 1700 pips.


EUR/USD higher by 400 pips would take USD/JPY lower to our 109.00 target from current 113.00’s.


Break down 2500 as 1250, 625, 312, 156. Normally our currency pairs are trading within the context of 312 pip ranges between 2 vital support and resistance points. Current Averages broke 312 to surround 156.


This is the case for EUR/USD 1.1400 to 1.1600, NZD/USD 0.6800 to 0.7200, AUD/USD 0.7300 to 0.7400’s, USD/CAD 1.2200 to 1.2400’s. Proper for cross pairs to trade higher than anchor pairs by about 2 times yet cross pairs are trading the same pip amounts as anchor pairs.


The concept of volatility and market price movements is at the lowest depths in many many years and I define as dead markets. Prices require breaks to get moving again but 5 and 10 year averges are holding up progress. Know 312 and 156 then this defines weekly trades count by fingers. EM markets are no different as ranges disintegrated. Does this condition remain as we trade at the 50th year since the free float or breakout and trade back to normal is an ongoing question.


The early warning to 156 and problems is deeply oversold USD/CHF without any range ability and CHF cross pairs oversold and not in sync to anchor pairs such as AUD/CHF and AUD/USD.

CHF/JPY and 2500 Pips

CHF/JPY bottomed at 106.00’s in 2018 and traded to current 125.00’s or 1900 pips or roughly 630 pips per year. At 1/2 of 1900 or 900 pips takes us to our target at 116.00, 115.00’s. Not only is CHF/JPY overbought from averages, short, medium and long term but shorts is the only strategy.


Wide Rangers GBP/CAD, GBP/NZD and EUR/NZD.


GBP/CAD broke the 5 year average at 1.7067 and traveled down a deeply oversold track to current 1.6700. The target on the 5 year is 1.6600’s and higher must break 1.7067 and 1.7093 to target 1.7202. Long term targets are much higher for GBP/CAD when 1.7067 breaks.


EUR/NZD broke the 5 year at 1.6400, traded to 1.6100’s. Long term targets are located at 1.6500’s and 1.6600’s when EUR/NZD breaks the 5 year.


GBP/NZD 1.9137 at the 5 year must clear then next 1.9343 and headwinds at 1.9400’s.


USD/JPY targets to 114.27 and 114.36 then targets 113.40.


EUR/EM V USD/EM


Added to a tough week is absolutely nothing is available to trade in EUR/EM Vs USD/EM. EUR/CZK is deeply oversold along with EUR/CNY and overbought to EUR/TRY. USD/EM is slightly overbought USD/DKK and USD/HRK while overbought USD/TRY.


Most EUR/EM and USD/EM currencies begin the week at vital breaks to include BRL.

Brian Twomey